Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-11
Arandina vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
ZAM
4 - 0
ACF
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
ACF
0 - 0
CDW
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
SAL
1 - 1
ACF
63%
22%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
CFP
3 - 4
ACF
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
ACF
4 - 0
CFB
60%
22%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
COM
1 - 0
PON
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
GET
1 - 1
PON
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
PON
3 - 0
ZAM
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
PON
0 - 0
ASP
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |