Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-4
Arandina vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SDA
0 - 0
ACF
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
BAÑ
1 - 1
ACF
32%
27%
41%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
ACF
9 - 2
HUL
66%
20%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
PON
3 - 1
ACF
31%
28%
41%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
ACF
0 - 1
CAB
64%
22%
14%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SPB
3 - 2
CFP
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
PON
0 - 2
CFP
20%
26%
54%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
CFP
2 - 1
CAB
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
SPH
1 - 3
CFP
16%
25%
59%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
CFP
0 - 0
ZAM
74%
18%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |