Arandina vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
73.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
OLO
5 - 1
ACF
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ACF
3 - 2
OLO
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
PXD
3 - 3
ACF
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ACF
2 - 1
PXD
61%
24%
15%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ACF
2 - 0
EUR
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 4
NUM
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ATM
4 - 2
NUM
81%
14%
5%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NUM
1 - 0
CCF
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
UDL
2 - 1
NUM
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 2
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |