Arandina vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACF
52%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CEB
1 - 1
ACF
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ACF
5 - 1
BAÑ
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 2
ACF
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ACF
2 - 1
CDV
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NUM
4 - 1
CDB
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 0
NUM
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CEB
1 - 1
NUM
24%
23%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NUM
1 - 0
BAÑ
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 2
NUM
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |