Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Arandina vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CCS
0 - 2
ACF
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ACF
0 - 0
CCS
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CIU
2 - 1
ACF
45%
27%
29%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ACF
2 - 1
CIU
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACF
3 - 0
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAI
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 3
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 2
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ALC
5 - 1
COS
85%
12%
4%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |