Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Arandina vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
ACF
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ACF
1 - 0
ALC
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
ACF
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACF
0 - 0
SEG
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
ACF
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
ELD
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ELD
1 - 0
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ELD
0 - 1
ORI
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
ELD
50%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ELD
5 - 0
LLO
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |