Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Arandina vs Costa Calida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
CIU
2 - 1
ACF
45%
27%
29%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ACF
2 - 1
CIU
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACF
3 - 0
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACF
14%
24%
63%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACF
2 - 0
SDA
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
CCS
38%
25%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CCS
2 - 2
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
CCS
1 - 2
PUL
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 3
CCS
20%
23%
56%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CCS
1 - 1
LHO
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |