Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 2-3
Arandina vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CEL
5 - 0
ACF
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
ACF
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ACF
1 - 2
CDP
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 0
ACF
71%
20%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 0
UDM
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
SOM
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
ACF
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CUL
2 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 0
PON
17%
26%
58%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TUD
0 - 2
BUR
55%
27%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |