Arandina vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ACF
1 - 2
COM
41%
28%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LEA
1 - 3
ACF
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ACF
0 - 3
TUD
19%
27%
54%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CPC
0 - 0
ACF
51%
26%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ACF
0 - 1
CDG
36%
28%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 3
BUR
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 0
BAR
37%
29%
35%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NUM
0 - 1
BUR
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PON
1 - 1
BUR
40%
29%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
SPB
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |