Arandina vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 0
ACF
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ACF
0 - 1
UDL
27%
29%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ATH
0 - 0
ACF
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACF
2 - 1
SES
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CFP
1 - 0
ACF
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 3
ALA
20%
26%
54%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RUN
2 - 0
BUR
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 3
RSO
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OSA
2 - 1
BUR
68%
19%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
GIM
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |