Arandina vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SEG
1 - 2
ACF
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACF
0 - 2
ZAM
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CDG
3 - 2
ACF
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EIB
4 - 0
ACF
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACF
1 - 0
ALA
19%
27%
55%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SDA
2 - 2
ALA
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RUN
0 - 0
SDA
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SLA
1 - 0
SDA
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SDA
1 - 0
RSO
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 1
SDA
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |