Araks Ararat vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araks Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
PYE
0 - 2
ARA
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
ZAA
1 - 0
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
ARA
3 - 1
KIL
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
ARA
1 - 0
LER
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
ZAL
2 - 0
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
ZAL
2 - 0
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
ZAL
1 - 2
FKK
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1998 |
ZAL
0 - 0
BBS
42%
23%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
BBS
1 - 0
ZAL
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
ZAL
1 - 0
IAA
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |