Aragvi Dusheti vs SFC Shturmi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
7º
26
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
ADU
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADU
0 - 2
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 2
DIN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
ADU
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ADU
6 - 2
WIT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
DIN
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LTB
3 - 3
SFC
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 1
SFC
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 3
SPA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
GAR
4 - 1
SFC
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |