Aragvi Dusheti vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
7º
51
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 3
ADU
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADU
2 - 1
KOL
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 3
ADU
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
ADU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
LOK
21%
23%
55%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 2
SFC
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
LOK
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |