Aragvi Dusheti vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
6º
29
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
42 | 66 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 62 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 62 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
42% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 47 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 39 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 26 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADU
2 - 1
KOL
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 3
ADU
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
ADU
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
SIO
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
MET
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 2
SFC
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
LOK
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
WIT
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |