Aragvi Dusheti vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
7º
32
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
ADU
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 3
KOL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WIT
0 - 2
ADU
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
ADU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
LOK
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
SFC
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 1
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |