Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Khobi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
7º
17
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 3
ADU
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
ADU
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
SIO
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 0
ADU
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Kolkheti Khobi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MET
4 - 2
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
SIO
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
KOL
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 4
DIN
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 1
KOL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |