Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Rustavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
6º
47
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 50 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 42% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
ADU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ADU
2 - 1
SIO
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 1
ADU
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
ADU
64%
19%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
ADU
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 0
MET
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
SFC
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
MET
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
SMY
2 - 0
MET
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
HUN
2 - 0
MET
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |