Araguaína vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
54.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
BDF
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +4 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
RIP
1 - 0
TRE
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
3 - 1
TRE
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 1
FLU
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 1
CEN
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |