Araguaína vs Tocantis Miracema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
2 - 1
BLH
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 6 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UAC
1 - 1
ARA
46%
24%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
UAC
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BLH
0 - 2
ARA
14%
18%
67%
|
25 | 6 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
BVT
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
3 - 0
TMI
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TMI
0 - 2
CAP
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BLH
2 - 3
TMI
11%
14%
75%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BVT
2 - 3
TMI
12%
15%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TMI
0 - 2
ARA
27%
22%
50%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |