Araguaína vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARA
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
AGU
22%
24%
53%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
LUV
4 - 0
ARA
73%
19%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
PAY
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 3
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 0
RIO
23%
24%
52%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARA
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 3
LUV
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
PAY
1 - 1
RIO
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
PLA
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |