Araguaína vs Comercial PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
ARA
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 0
ARA
79%
15%
7%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 2
MIX
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 4
SAM
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
3 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
4 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 2
MIX
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |