Araguaína vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
TRE
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
BDF
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
56%
24%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |