Araguaína vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +3 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GUR
3 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
GUR
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
BDF
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
30%
24%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |