Araguaína vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +3 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 2
BDF
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
BDF
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |