Araguaia AC vs Operário Ltda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AAC
2 - 2
LUV
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 2
AAC
78%
16%
7%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AAC
0 - 3
ACA
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MIX
3 - 2
AAC
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AAC
1 - 1
URO
22%
23%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
LTD
2 - 0
URO
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LTD
2 - 2
POC
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 1
LTD
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 1
LTD
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LTD
2 - 1
DBO
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +2 |