Aragua FC vs Zulia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 3
ARA
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
LAR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
ARA
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
ZAM
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
CFC
4 - 2
ZUL
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ZUL
4 - 4
TRU
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
ZUL
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 1
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ANZ
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |