Aragua FC vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
ARA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
LAR
31%
30%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 3
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 2
APC
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UCV
0 - 2
MIN
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
UCV
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ZUL
2 - 2
UCV
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UCV
0 - 1
BAR
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |