Aragua FC vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
ARA
28%
29%
44%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
ARA
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 1
TRU
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
0 - 1
ARA
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 2
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 5
DEP
20%
28%
52%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
TUC
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
TUC
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |