Aragua FC vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
ARA
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
ATL
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 2
ARA
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TUC
2 - 2
ZUL
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 0
TUC
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 0
CAR
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LLA
3 - 2
TUC
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TUC
1 - 0
LAR
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |