Aragua FC vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
TRU
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
ARA
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 1
CFC
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
TRU
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 0
TRU
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
TRU
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TRU
3 - 2
CFC
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |