Aragua FC vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
ARA
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 2
ARA
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 2
ZAM
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
TRU
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
TRU
1 - 1
MET
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ZUL
0 - 2
TRU
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
LAR
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |