Aragua FC vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
TAC
2 - 1
ARA
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
YAR
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
ANZ
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
ARA
40%
29%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
LAR
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 0
TRU
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 5
TRU
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TRU
3 - 1
ANZ
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ZAM
5 - 2
TRU
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |