Aragua FC vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
0 - 1
ARA
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
MIR
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 0
ARA
26%
29%
45%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
URE
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
TRU
15%
25%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
URE
0 - 3
TRU
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
2 - 2
ZUL
53%
27%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |