Aragua FC vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
ARA
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
DEP
34%
30%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARA
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
MIN
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
MIN
3 - 1
ARA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
TRU
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TRU
2 - 0
TUC
70%
20%
9%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 2
MIN
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 2
TRU
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 1
TAC
50%
27%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |