Aragua FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
0 - 2
ARA
20%
28%
53%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
ARA
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
MET
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ARA
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
ARA
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
CFC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
ZAM
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
TAC
3 - 2
MON
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
2 - 1
MON
13%
25%
63%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | -1 |