Aragua FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 1
ARA
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 4
MIN
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 0
ARA
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
ESC
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
CFC
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
TAC
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |