Aragua FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
YAR
0 - 1
ARA
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ZUL
2 - 0
ARA
40%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 0
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ARA
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
ATL
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
LLA
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
TRU
1 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |