Aragua FC vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
45.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
21%
28%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
POR
36%
31%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MET
1 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MET
0 - 2
APC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 2
MET
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MET
3 - 1
LAR
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
APC
0 - 2
MET
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 0
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |