Aragua FC vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 2
ARA
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 2
ZAM
28%
28%
43%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 2
ARA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
LLA
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
ANZ
3 - 1
ARA
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
ATL
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MET
3 - 0
TAC
26%
30%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ANZ
0 - 1
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
ZAM
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 0
MET
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |