Aragua FC vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
ANZ
3 - 1
ARA
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
ARA
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
LAL
67%
23%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
ARA
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
LLA
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 3
TAC
18%
28%
54%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 3
LAR
15%
27%
58%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MET
2 - 2
LLA
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
ZAM
3 - 0
LLA
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |