Aragua FC vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
ANZ
6 - 0
ARA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
ANZ
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 2
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 2
ARA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
PDB
1 - 2
LLA
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
CFC
23%
29%
47%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
LLA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MIN
5 - 2
LLA
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
TAC
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |