Aragua FC vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TRU
2 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
MIN
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
ARA
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 3
TAC
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
YAR
1 - 1
ARA
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 1
ZUL
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 1
LLA
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 0
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
LLA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |