Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-3
Aragua FC vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ARA
4 - 1
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
LLA
2 - 0
ARA
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
ARA
2 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
TAC
3 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 5
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 2
CHI
40%
28%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |