Aragua FC vs Gran Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAN
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
ARA
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 2
ARA
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
MIN
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 1
ZAM
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gran Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GVA
1 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GVA
0 - 3
TAC
12%
26%
62%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
GVA
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
GVA
1 - 0
ZAM
9%
23%
68%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
MET
4 - 2
GVA
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |