Aragua FC vs Gran Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
POR
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MET
2 - 2
ARA
47%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
26%
30%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAR
30%
30%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
COQ
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gran Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
GVA
0 - 4
CFC
10%
24%
67%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
GVA
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 0
GVA
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
GVA
1 - 2
MIN
11%
24%
66%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MET
2 - 1
GVA
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |