Aragua FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 0
ARA
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 2
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 1
EST
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
ZAM
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
EST
4 - 2
ESC
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |