Aragua FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 0
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ARA
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
TRU
32%
27%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
ARA
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 1
MIN
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ZAM
3 - 0
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ARA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ZUL
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |