Aragua FC vs Deportivo Miranda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ARA
48%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
URE
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
TUC
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
TRU
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 2
CFC
11%
23%
67%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 1
MIR
47%
27%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 0
MIN
15%
25%
60%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 0
MIR
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 1
ESC
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |