Aragua FC vs Deportivo Miranda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
ARA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 0
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
ARA
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 2
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 0
CAR
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TRU
1 - 1
MIR
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
MET
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
EST
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
ARA
25%
29%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |