Aragua FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 3
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
ZUL
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 3
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 2
APC
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 3
LAR
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 0
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
LAR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
LAR
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |